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  • Tariffs are back, and the potential consequences could be severe
    February 24, 2025
    Tariffs are back, and the potential consequences could be severe
    Tariffs are back, and the potential consequences could be severe

    The U.S. is once again using tariffs as a bargaining chip, reigniting trade tensions with key partners like Canada, Mexico, and China. With inflation still a concern, another wave of tariffs could squeeze businesses and consumers, putting pressure on economic growth. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we explore the risks of escalating trade wars and […]

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  • The $5.5 trillion confusion
    February 10, 2025
    The $5.5 trillion confusion
    The $5.5 trillion confusion

    Trump’s push to extend the 2017 tax plan, which could reach $5.5 trillion in tax cuts, has reignited debate over their economic impact. Skeptics warn of ballooning deficits, while history suggests tax cuts can boost tax revenue over time if executed well. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we explore how this policy shift could reshape […]

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  • While credit may appear concerning, there’s more to the story
    February 3, 2025
    While credit may appear concerning, there’s more to the story
    While credit may appear concerning, there’s more to the story

    The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) measures how eager banks are to extend loans and how accessible credit is to both businesses and consumers. Recent SLOOS data indicates that banks have stopped tightening lending standards for the first time in 10 quarters. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we will explore the “uninverted” yield curve […]

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  • Investor confidence is making a comeback
    January 27, 2025
    Investor confidence is making a comeback
    Investor confidence is making a comeback

    Earlier this month, the 10-year/three-month spread finally normalized for the first time since late 2022.

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  • Venture capital’s magic has worn off
    January 13, 2025
    Venture capital’s magic has worn off
    Venture capital’s magic has worn off

    Yesterday, we talked about the latest Consumer Electronics Show (CES).

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  • The essential consumer metric to follow in 2025
    December 30, 2024
    The essential consumer metric to follow in 2025
    The essential consumer metric to follow in 2025

    The U.S. economy ended 2024 on a high note, with double-digit stock market gains and improving credit conditions. However, the looming challenge of student loan repayments in 2025 could pose a significant test for consumer strength. As borrowers face potential defaults and creditors ramp up collections, the ripple effects on the broader market are uncertain. […]

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  • The U.S. dollar is still king
    December 23, 2024
    The U.S. dollar is still king
    The U.S. dollar is still king

    The U.S. has solidified its position as the top destination for global capital, with foreign investments rising from 18% to 33% since the pandemic. Meanwhile, China’s capital inflows have dwindled, as economic challenges and lower interest rates make its market less appealing to investors. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we explore the factors driving the […]

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  • This food company is priced for its downfall
    December 16, 2024
    This food company is priced for its downfall
    This food company is priced for its downfall

    GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic and Zepbound are revolutionizing the healthcare industry and disrupting consumer habits. Conagra Brands, owner of well-known products like Slim Jim and Duncan Hines, has seen its Uniform P/B ratio drop 44% in four years as investors grow concerned about the impact of GLP-1 drugs on traditional eating habits. Despite these challenges, […]

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  • The market may not be as overpriced as you think
    December 9, 2024
    The market may not be as overpriced as you think
    The market may not be as overpriced as you think

    Berkshire Hathaway has accumulated a record $325 billion in cash, signaling readiness to capitalize on future opportunities. With the market at historically high valuations, Buffett focuses on long-term returns and recognizes that inflation, tax rates, and earnings growth make the current environment favorable for businesses. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we explore Berkshire’s position while […]

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  • The perfect blend for long-term investing
    December 2, 2024
    The perfect blend for long-term investing
    The perfect blend for long-term investing

    Ever since AI took center stage, stocks have been on a near-one-way trip higher. The S&P 500 soared more than 60% in the past two years, and more than 25% this year alone.

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  • The case for this ‘safe haven’ metal is declining
    November 25, 2024
    The case for this ‘safe haven’ metal is declining
    The case for this ‘safe haven’ metal is declining

    The value of gold surged by as much as 35% in 2024, topping $2,700 per troy ounce and grabbing headlines as one of the year's best-performing assets.

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  • America’s innovation is unmatched
    November 18, 2024
    America’s innovation is unmatched
    America’s innovation is unmatched

    America has been a top global innovator for decades. Its groundbreaking inventions have reshaped modern life at home and abroad.

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  • Japan is poised for a major comeback
    November 11, 2024
    Japan is poised for a major comeback
    Japan is poised for a major comeback

    International investors are flocking to Japan. The country has been experiencing a wave of economic and policy shifts for a while.

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  • Reaching the one-third mark in a $4.6 trillion opportunity
    November 4, 2024
    Reaching the one-third mark in a $4.6 trillion opportunity
    Reaching the one-third mark in a $4.6 trillion opportunity

    For almost all of 2000 to 2020, U.S. corporations took McKinsey, Bain, or BCG ("MBB")'s advice...

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  • An unnoticed triumph for banks
    October 28, 2024
    An unnoticed triumph for banks
    An unnoticed triumph for banks

    It's certainly a big deal that the Federal Reserve cut rates for the first time since 2020. And the cut came in at 50 basis points instead of the widespread expectation for 25, adding to the market's excitement.

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  • Consumer debt is on the verge of becoming a crisis
    October 21, 2024
    Consumer debt is on the verge of becoming a crisis
    Consumer debt is on the verge of becoming a crisis

    We’ve seen some encouraging data recently—unemployment is incredibly low relative to history at 4.1% and actually came down last month. Inflation has largely started to cool off, with year-over-year CPI increases down to 2.4% last month.

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  • Bringing a spoon to a sword fight
    October 14, 2024
    Bringing a spoon to a sword fight
    Bringing a spoon to a sword fight

    China is facing deflationary pressures as inflation cools, reflecting weakening consumer demand. Stimulus measures from the Chinese government temporarily boosted markets but economic challenges persist. Property prices and sales have been declining, while deflation has increased the real burden of debt for businesses and individuals. In today’s FA Alpha Daily, we explore the government’s quick […]

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  • Not all tech companies are reaping the AI rewards
    October 7, 2024
    Not all tech companies are reaping the AI rewards
    Not all tech companies are reaping the AI rewards

    AI has been the biggest trend in the stock market in the last two years and this was reflected in the share prices of AI companies.

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  • Post-pandemic spending might have doomed the economy
    September 30, 2024
    Post-pandemic spending might have doomed the economy
    Post-pandemic spending might have doomed the economy

    Last month, consumers passed $1.14 trillion in credit-card debt. Higher interest rates are one reason for this. The average credit card interest rate was around 16% pre-pandemic. Today, that number is around 25%.

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  • Lenders are on edge
    September 23, 2024
    Lenders are on edge
    Lenders are on edge

    It is never a good sign when creditors start thinking about bankruptcy scenarios and finding ways to protect their money over other creditors.

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